Service Plays Thursday 02/05/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Confidential Tip-Off (CTO)

THURSDAY

ILLINOIS over *Wisconsin...Sure, Badgers seeking to avenge recent 64-57 loss at Champaign. But that’ll be easier said than done against
jelling Illinois, which has covered 8 of last 10 thru Jan. 28. Venue has changed, but dynamics of matchup have not. The Illini’s offense (19
apg) still flows much better than choppy Wisconsin attack, and their defense (allowing just 28% from 3-point arc—tops in Big 10) still
permits very few open looks on the perimeter. Since Illinois also has enough size to bang inside with the Badgers’ “bigs,” a sweep of both
regular-season meetings wouldn’t be a huge surprise.

ILLINOIS 63 - *Wisconsin 61 RATING - 10
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[SteveMcQueen]

Raging Bull Soccer:

Barcelona/Mallorca over 3 (Copa del Rey)

PSV/ADO Den Haag over 3 (Dutch Eredivisie)

Rushden & Diamonds/Burton Albion over 2.5 (English Conference)

 

[SteveMcQueen]

ATS Sports Club
February 5, 2009

Soccer:

Barcelona vs. Mallorca over 3 (Spanish Copa del Rey)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Miami of Ohio (-13-1/2) Wednesday night.

Tonight it's Ohio U. The profit is 150 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lee Kostroski

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON 5* Home Team Hammer - Denver +2 over Middle Tennessee State, Thursday at 9:00 PM EST

While Denver’s 9-12 overall record or their 4-6 conference mark may not look very impressive, this team is dangerous right now especially at home. This team has been VERY competitive with all of their six conference losses coming by 7 points or less. Actually, five of those six losses have come by 4 points or less and three of them have come in overtime. This team could easily have a winning Sun Belt record. At home they have beaten some of the league’s heavyweights including conference leader Western Kentucky who is 9-2. This team shoots 50% at home where they are 3-1 in conference play with their only loss coming by 2-points in overtime to Arkansas State. It’s always tough for opponents to make the long trip to Denver and play in the higher altitude. This Pioneer team could easily have a winning Sun Belt record.

MTSU sits at 8-3 overall in the conference and don’t be surprised if they overlook the dangerous Pioneers. That would be a mistake as this Blue Raider team has now lost three straight conference road games including @ New Orleans who stands at just 4-7 on Sun Belt play. MTSU’s defense has really faltered lately allowing 48% to their opponents over the last five games. It’s a bad time to be coming into Denver with question marks on defense as the Pioneers are the top shooting team in league play at 51%. DU has five players in the main rotation that shoot over 48% from the field. They are very tough to defend.

Denver has been undervalued all year and they continue to be. This team has now covered 10 of their last 11 conference games and they get another one tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lee Kostroski

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON 8* ESPN Punisher - Wisconsin -3 over Illinois, Thursday at 9:00 PM EST

The Badgers are in the midst of their first six game losing streak since Bo Ryan took over. However, the streak isn’t as bad as most are making it out to be. Wisconsin actually had a decent chance to win five of those games. The only game they were beaten soundly was @ Purdue back on January 11th. The others were ALL there for the taking. Since that 13-point loss @ Purdue, this team lost two overtime games, a one-point game and a 3-point game. They lost @ Illinois 64-57 however Wisconsin’s Jason Bohannon had a wide open three point attempt with about 25 seconds remaining which would have cut the Illini lead to two points. What caught our eye was the fact that the Badgers were able to keep the game close despite shooting just 35% from the field (Illinois shot 50%) and getting out scored at the free throw line by 9. Those numbers should turn around at home for Wisconsin which bodes well for them on Thursday.

Illinois was really playing well early in the Big Ten season, however we have seen some chinks in their armor the last few games. After beating Wisconsin in a game they should have won handily based on the stats, this team went to Minnesota and were thoroughly dominated 59-36. Next they faced off at home against Iowa and struggled in that game. The Illini were down at halftime and fought through for an 8-point win against an Iowa team that is still without leading rebounder Cyrus Tate. They are 1-3 SU their last four Big Ten road teams and they travel to Madison to face a desperate Badger squad.

Wisconsin has had one of the strongest home courts in College Basketball in the Bo Ryan era. In Ryan’s first seven years as the Badger head man, this team lost ONLY three conference games at home. That’s right, just three home losses in conference play in seven years! This year they already have two, as we stated they could easily be undefeated at home this year. One loss was in overtime vs. Minnesota. UW had a 9-point lead with just over 3:00 minutes left in the game and couldn’t hold on as the Gophs hit a 3 at the buzzer to tie it and they won in OT. Their other home loss Wisconsin had a 5-point lead over Purdue with under 4:00 minutes remaining in the game and lost by 1. Purdue was 3 for 3 from behind the arc in the last few minutes of play to seal the win.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lee Kostroski

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON 8* Sun Belt Game of the Week - North Texas +5 over South Alabama, Thursday at 8:00 PM EST

UNT was expected to be one of the best teams in the Sun Belt but disappointed early. The started the conference season with a 1-3 record losing one of those games by 6-points and the other two in overtime. After that they ripped of four straight wins to push themselves near the top of the Sun Belt West. Now they have lost two straight games to the hottest team in the league and the best team in the league.

That “hottest” team is Troy who beat North Texas one week ago for their 5th straight win. The Trojans then beat Denver last Saturday and they now have won 6 in a row. UNT had a 4-point lead in that game with 4:00 minutes remaining but went scoreless from that point on and lost. The best team in the conference is Western Kentucky and this Mean Green team had the Hilltoppers on the ropes at home on Saturday. UNT led the ENTIRE game including a 10-point margin with just 8:00 minutes remaining. The still led with under 1:00 minute to go but lost by 4. One of their key players, forward Eric Tramiel, whom head coach Johnny Jones calls their “best player” as of late was limited to only 10 minutes in the second half which really hurt the Green. Thus, if it weren’t for a few late collapses this team would have a 6-game winning streak.

South Alabama hasn’t had much of a home court advantage this year as their record in the Mitchell Center stands at 6-5. In conference play they are just 1-4 SU at home. Two of those losses have come by wide margins as Troy destroyed the Jaguars 94-70 and Middle Tennessee State also dominated in Mobile winning by 15. Their only home win came against New Orleans by just 3 points. The Privateers are just 4-7 in conference play. It was a down to the wire game in which USA led by just 1-point with under 1:00 minute remaining. If they hadn’t held on, this Jaguar team would be sitting at four straight losses. They are not playing well shooting just 39% as a team over their last five games. They are facing a team that is playing well despite their two straight losses. Because of that, we are getting great value with UNT as a dog here. Take the points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

(777) THE CITADEL
(778) APPALACHIAN STATE
Take "(777) THE CITADEL"

One of the better under the radar stories this year is The Citadel. The Bulldogs had been awful for years, but their 13 wins to date this season already matches their total victories over the prior two seasons. The Citadel is 8-4 in conference play, and only got whacked once, by powerful Davidson. The other three losses were all by six or fewer points. Appalachian State has faltered this season, and four of their six league wins are by six or fewer points. With The Citadel on a 5-0 run coming into this one, I like their chances, so I'll lean to grabbing the points with the Bulldogs.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

(701) INDIANA PACERS
(702) PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
Take "(701) INDIANA PACERS"

Oddsmakers have caught up with Philly, a good team, but not great, on a 2-5 ATS run. The depth got some bad news this week as Elton Brand's dislocated right shoulder is still hurting. He is becoming more and more aware of pain and restrictiveness as he tried to shoot or reach for rebounds. Against the Celtics he had a large protective pad around the shoulder, but he played only 8 minutes, 40 seconds of the first half, then sat out the second half. And now the question is whether the Sixers should consider shutting him back down. These teams have met twice this season and each game was a squeaker, decided by 1 and 2 points. Indiana's potent offense should keep this one close, as well. Play the Pacers.

 

[tberry]

Cappers Access
Alabama + 7.5
Wisconsin - 3.5

 

[tberry]

BookieBasherSports...

1-2 so far for the week, he is monitored by parlayhelp.com

NCAA.. Detriot +11 vs Butler

 

[SteveMcQueen]

ATS Sports Club
February 5, 2009

Soccer:

Barcelona vs. Mallorca over 3 (Spanish Copa del Rey)

NBA:

76ers -5
Lakers +6

NCAA:

Michigan -4
App State -4
Arizona St. -8

NHL:

Kings/Caps over 5.5
Blackhawks/Flames over 5.5
Preds -130

 

[tberry]

Bryan Leonard

Western Athletic Conference Game of the Year!

Plays are rated from 2-5s for strength & bankroll %

4 Fresno State at Hawaii

Must win game for the Warriors who have dropped six of seven to fall to seventh place in the WAC. It’s important to stay out of the eight and nine seeds because those two squads must play in the dreaded play-in game come conference tourney time. While on paper Hawaii looks to be struggling right now the Warriors are just ending a terrible scheduling streak. Unlike teams on the main land the Warriors must take at least a five hour flight to any first game road site. And they have done a great amount of traveling as of late. After defeating Louisiana Tech at home on January 5th they played at Idaho and Boise State. They returned home to face San Jose State only to go right back on the road at Nevada. They then hosted Utah State before traveling once more to Louisiana Tech and New Mexico State. Now back home and happy to be here for two straight weeks we look for the Warriors to rebound from the recent losses. “Hopefully, this can bring a little sanity back to our lives,” Hawaii head coach Bob Nash said. “Our guys can spend more time in the classroom, sleep in their own beds, and they don’t have to worry about hopping on a plane every couple days.”

Fresno State sits at 9-13 overall and just 1-6 in conference play. The Bulldogs have dropped six of eight and they own just two road wins all season. They beat Pacific by two points in early December and knocked off Cal Poly in overtime at the end of December. Fresno State is off a home overtime loss to Utah State last Saturday and they host Boise State Monday night.

Style wise this game features the inside game of the Warriors against the outside game of the Bulldogs. Hawaii takes it to the hole and forces the opposition into foul trouble. Defensively the Warriors are a tall team that makes you beat them from the perimeter. The problem for Fresno State is that playing at this late hour does havoc on the team’s biological clocks, and that’s especially true of a three point oriented team. We saw it last year when Fresno scored just 62 points in a 13 point loss here. That was their lowest scoring regular season output in conference play. The Bulldogs are on a 2-12 straight up road streak and they own just one conference road win the past two seasons. In a win and cover situation we would much rather back the host who has put their hectic schedule on the back burner.

PLAY HAWAII

 

[tberry]

James Patrick Sports

Northern Arizona vs. Portland State

In College Basketball action on Thursday our selection is Portland State Vikings as the home team is 4-1 ATS as well as the favorite. The NAU Lumberjacks are just 1-6 on this court. The Vikings Voyage is a successful one here.

 

[tberry]

Sports Gambling Hotline

Indiana +5 at PHILADELPHIA

For Thursday, take the Pacers plus the points at Philadelphia.

Indiana has had Philly’s number of late, as the Pacers won and covered the season’s first meeting, 95-94 in the City of Brotherly Love as the double-digit underdog to make it a 6-3 series run both straight up, and against the spread.

A closer look shows the Pacers on a 4-1 series roll both straight up, and against the spread, and Indiana is a positive 13-12 against the spread through their 25 road games to date.

Philadelphia is off a hard-faught one-point home loss to mighty Boston, and the Sixers may still be dwelling on that loss when they take to the court tonight.

Philly is just 11-13 against the spread at home this season, and they come into this one off back-to-back home outright losses.

Look for the 76ers to struggle to cover this impost tonight.

Play on the Pacers.

1♦ INDIANA

 

[tberry]

Doc’s Sports

Take Over 5 ½ in Chicago @ Calgary

Two western conference foes are set to do battle tonight at the Saddledome in Calgary. Both teams are well on their way to receiving a playoff birth as they are tied with 64 points each. The Blackhawks have a strong offensive team led by Patrick Kane and they are in the midst of a long road trip in which they have won three of four games. The Flames are not the traditional strong defensive team as in year’s past, as they have given up 148 this season and thus we will not worry about who wins this game and just collect with the over.



Penn State at Michigan

Huge revenge game and a must-win for Michigan, particularly with a non-conference showdown with top-ranked UConn looming on Saturday. The Wolverines have lost five of six and are fading fast in the Big 10. Despite posting big non-conference wins over both UCLA and Duke, the Maize and Blue’s tournament hopes are more than in jeopardy and exacting revenge from a Nittany Lions team that beat them by 15 two weeks ago is a must. Lay this short number.

Play on: Michigan

 

[tberry]

Jimmy The Moose

Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues
Prediction: Over

The over is 8-3 in the Oilers last 11 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. This will be the Blues 3rd game in 4 night’s and in their last 9 games in this situation the over is 8-1. The over is a profitbale 11-4 in the Blues last 15 home games. In their last 20 games vs. Western Conference opponents the over is 14-6. The over is 4-0-1 in the Oilers last 5 trips to St. Louis. The over is 7-1-2 in the last 10 meetings between the clubs. Play the over.

 

[tberry]

Jrtips

TEMPLE vs. XAVIER

Xavier is currently leading the Atlantic 10 and the Musketeers look for their 11th straight victory overall and 21st consecutive conference win at the Cintas Center tonight against a Temple team that has defeated them in three of the last four meetings. No. 9 Xavier (19-2) is wrapping up a three-game homestand following Saturday’s 82-80 win over Massachusetts. Junior forward Derrick Brown tied a career high with 23 points as the Musketeers improved to 7-0 in conference after a tough game that took a rebound from C.J. Anderson in the final seconds to seal the game. B.J. Raymond scored 20 or more points for the third straight game on Saturday with 22. Raymond is shooting 63.2 percent (12-of-19) from 3-point range during this stretch and was named A-10 Player of the Week for the second time this season although he missed all seven shots ehen they lost to Temple last season. Freshman Terrell Holloway left with a sprained foot in the second half on Saturday and committed five turnovers. Holloway was limited to just one assist in 17 minutes after Luke Bonner fell on his left foot midway through the first half. Holloway started every game during the winning streak and is averaging 6.5 points and 2.4 assists overall. He is day by day but they are optimistic he can return tonight although he won”t be at 100 percent. Temple (12-8, 4-2) arrives in Cincinnati tonight following a 74-65 victory over Richmond on Saturday. The Owls won their seventh in nine games as five players scored in double figures for just the second time this season. Semaj Inge had 19 points and Dionte Christmas posted a double-double with 17 and a career-high 13 boards as Temple had a season-high 58 second-half points following a season-worst 16 in the opening 20 minutes. Scoring could be a challenge against a Xavier team that is eighth in the nation in field goal defense at 37.4 percent.This is always a hard fought conference game for both teams and with Xaviers point guard not playing at a 100 percentage, Temple will present a real challenge to them tonight and has a chance to win outright. TAKE TEMPLE+8 1/2

 

[tberry]

Vernon Croy

Penn State vs. Michigan
Play: Michigan -4

The Nittany lions are just 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road dog of +0.5 to +6.5 points and the Wolverines are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games. The Wolverines have out-scored their opponents by an average of 13 ppg at home this season and Michigan seeks revenge tonight against a Nittany Lions team that beat them on the road by 15 points back on January.20. On the injury front Michigan Guards – Manny Harris and Zack Novak are supposed to both be active for tonight’s home game against Penn State. The Home team is 7-0-1 ATS in the last 8 games between these two teams and Michigan is a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against the Penn State. Take Michigan as my NCAAB Bonus Play for Thursday night and make sure you get on my NCAAB Slam Dunk along with my NBA TNT Bookie Buster of the Week as my 75% NBA Run continues.